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Red403
1018171.5
3176147.7
829186.2
Blue355
3487148.8
1529111.8
461145.6
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4412510100200300400500600700403355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#19
186.20.7
199.6198.9
Auto20.4
Teleop141.3
End24.1
red by 37.5
3487
#25
148.81.5
156.1154.6
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End19.3
Second
1018
#10
171.50.2
167.3167.5
Auto24.0
Teleop128.9
End17.4
red by 25.9
461
#32
145.60.3
146.8146.5
Auto18.6
Teleop107.6
End21.0
Third
147.70.9
145.4146.4
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
red by 35.9
1529
#29
111.80.2
110.9110.7
Auto13.7
Teleop83.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed