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Qual 122018 Indiana State Championship
Red376
71174.3
4580127.5
1747194.9
Blue281
2171147.2
3940166.2
1720149.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374310100200500600700376281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#1
194.91.4
173.5→174.9
Auto24.9
Teleop148.8
End20.3
red by 28.7
3940
#20
166.20.2
168.7→168.9
Auto19.3
Teleop121.6
End24.7
Second
71
#3
174.30.5
169.1→168.6
Auto20.4
Teleop130.3
End24.3
red by 25.1
1720
#21
149.20.2
154.7→154.8
Auto18.6
Teleop106.7
End22.0
Third
4580
#28
127.50.0
131.6→131.6
Auto18.6
Teleop96.1
End12.3
blue by 19.7
2171
#13
147.20.9
155.5→154.6
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed