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Qual 112018 Indiana State Championship
Red362
1024195.6
829186.2
447167.1
Blue331
3947124.9
5403163.4
2867136.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455281100200400500600700800362331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#7
195.60.5
192.3→191.8
Auto22.0
Teleop145.4
End29.2
red by 32.2
5403
#16
163.41.2
166.9→165.7
Auto24.0
Teleop114.0
End23.5
Second
829
#19
186.20.2
199.8→199.6
Auto20.4
Teleop141.3
End24.1
red by 50.0
2867
#18
136.20.2
135.7→135.9
Auto20.5
Teleop91.0
End25.8
Third
447
#4
167.11.2
152.2→153.4
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End27.9
red by 42.1
3947
#31
124.90.6
125.9→126.5
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed