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Red384
4580127.5
461145.6
4272171.4
Blue149
3147130.3
3487148.8
6956113.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380308100200500600700384149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.41.2
157.8159.0
Auto23.1
Teleop124.1
End25.2
red by 22.7
3487
#25
148.80.8
156.9156.1
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End19.3
Second
461
#32
145.60.5
147.3146.8
Auto18.6
Teleop107.6
End21.0
red by 15.3
3147
#27
130.30.7
139.1139.8
Auto18.6
Teleop97.5
End12.1
Third
4580
#28
127.50.0
131.6131.6
Auto18.6
Teleop96.1
End12.3
red by 13.9
6956
#30
113.61.0
113.8114.8
Auto17.6
Teleop83.4
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed