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Red238
2171147.2
4485149.6
7198123.3
Blue394
3936133.5
3176147.7
868188.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32238402006008001,000238394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4485
#23
149.61.3
144.8146.1
Auto20.5
Teleop112.0
End17.7
blue by 38.3
868
#9
188.00.1
185.5185.6
Auto23.2
Teleop135.4
End25.8
Second
2171
#13
147.20.0
155.6155.5
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End20.5
blue by 0.4
147.70.5
145.0145.4
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
Third
7198
#24
123.30.1
121.0121.1
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End18.2
blue by 10.2
3936
#17
133.50.1
129.6129.5
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned