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Red178
1529111.8
3940166.2
2867136.2
Blue377
1501167.2
135160.8
71174.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2474270100200300500600700178377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#20
166.20.8
167.9168.7
Auto19.3
Teleop121.6
End24.7
blue by 8.1
71
#3
174.30.4
169.4169.1
Auto20.4
Teleop130.3
End24.3
Second
2867
#18
136.20.7
135.0135.7
Auto20.5
Teleop91.0
End25.8
blue by 31.0
1501
#22
167.20.3
172.5172.7
Auto21.5
Teleop122.3
End25.0
Third
1529
#29
111.80.2
110.6110.9
Auto13.7
Teleop83.3
End12.0
blue by 49.0
135
#12
160.81.0
155.5156.5
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed