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Qual 182018 Indiana State Championship
Red330
461145.6
135160.8
3947124.9
Blue410
3936133.5
5010168.9
2867136.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351325100200300400500600330410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#12
160.80.7
157.0→157.7
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3
blue by 8.1
5010
#15
168.91.1
166.0→164.9
Auto21.9
Teleop128.7
End20.5
Second
461
#32
145.60.3
146.5→146.7
Auto18.6
Teleop107.6
End21.0
red by 9.3
2867
#18
136.20.6
135.9→136.5
Auto20.5
Teleop91.0
End25.8
Third
3947
#31
124.90.4
127.5→127.1
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End15.8
blue by 8.6
3936
#17
133.50.6
129.9→130.4
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed