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Red431
71174.3
1018171.5
1741182.9
Blue253
7198123.3
1024195.6
3487148.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438287100200400500600700431253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.90.5
188.1187.5
Auto23.0
Teleop129.0
End29.3
blue by 12.7
195.60.6
190.9190.3
Auto22.0
Teleop145.4
End29.2
Second
71
#3
174.30.1
168.6168.5
Auto20.4
Teleop130.3
End24.3
red by 25.5
3487
#25
148.80.6
154.6153.9
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End19.3
Third
1018
#10
171.50.1
167.5167.7
Auto24.0
Teleop128.9
End17.4
red by 48.2
7198
#24
123.30.5
120.5120.0
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed