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Red269
3940166.2
1501167.2
5484140.5
Blue492
1720149.2
829186.2
1747194.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278411100200500600700269492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#22
167.20.0
172.8172.7
Auto21.5
Teleop122.3
End25.0
blue by 27.7
194.91.4
174.9176.3
Auto24.9
Teleop148.8
End20.3
Second
3940
#20
166.20.6
168.9168.3
Auto19.3
Teleop121.6
End24.7
blue by 20.1
829
#19
186.20.6
198.9198.3
Auto20.4
Teleop141.3
End24.1
Third
5484
#26
140.50.5
141.9141.4
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End20.3
blue by 8.7
1720
#21
149.20.7
154.8154.2
Auto18.6
Teleop106.7
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned