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Red350
4103158.7
5403163.4
4580127.5
Blue305
6956113.6
868188.0
5188159.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342358100200300400500600700350305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5403
#16
163.40.2
165.2164.9
Auto24.0
Teleop114.0
End23.5
blue by 24.6
868
#9
188.00.4
186.2186.6
Auto23.2
Teleop135.4
End25.8
Second
4103
#14
158.70.8
159.1158.2
Auto21.3
Teleop118.2
End18.2
blue by 0.4
5188
#11
159.11.1
146.0147.2
Auto19.4
Teleop116.9
End23.8
Third
4580
#28
127.50.3
131.6131.9
Auto18.6
Teleop96.1
End12.3
red by 13.9
6956
#30
113.60.8
114.8114.0
Auto17.6
Teleop83.4
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsMissed