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Red184
3176147.7
3947124.9
3940166.2
Blue423
3147130.3
1018171.5
1024195.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312406100200500600184423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#20
166.20.5
168.3167.9
Auto19.3
Teleop121.6
End24.7
blue by 29.5
195.60.7
190.3189.6
Auto22.0
Teleop145.4
End29.2
Second
147.70.7
146.4147.1
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
blue by 23.8
1018
#10
171.50.4
167.7168.1
Auto24.0
Teleop128.9
End17.4
Third
3947
#31
124.90.6
127.1126.5
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End15.8
blue by 5.4
3147
#27
130.30.2
139.5139.3
Auto18.6
Teleop97.5
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed