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Qual 232018 Indiana State Championship
Red256
3487148.8
234189.0
829186.2
Blue450
868188.0
135160.8
5484140.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions400348200250300450500550600256450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#6
189.01.2
186.9→188.1
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End31.1
red by 1.1
868
#9
188.00.0
186.6→186.6
Auto23.2
Teleop135.4
End25.8
Second
829
#19
186.20.3
198.3→198.6
Auto20.4
Teleop141.3
End24.1
red by 25.5
135
#12
160.80.2
157.7→157.9
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3
Third
3487
#25
148.80.8
153.9→153.2
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End19.3
red by 8.3
5484
#26
140.50.4
141.4→141.0
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed