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Red410
7198123.3
5188159.1
1720149.2
Blue268
461145.6
4103158.7
4485149.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314362100200400500600410268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#11
159.10.5
147.2147.7
Auto19.4
Teleop116.9
End23.8
red by 0.4
4103
#14
158.70.6
158.2157.6
Auto21.3
Teleop118.2
End18.2
Second
1720
#21
149.20.3
154.2154.4
Auto18.6
Teleop106.7
End22.0
blue by 0.4
4485
#23
149.60.0
146.7146.7
Auto20.5
Teleop112.0
End17.7
Third
7198
#24
123.30.6
120.0119.4
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End18.2
blue by 22.3
461
#32
145.60.1
146.7146.7
Auto18.6
Teleop107.6
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed