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Qual 282018 Indiana State Championship
Red207
5403163.4
6956113.6
1529111.8
Blue484
135160.8
1747194.9
4485149.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1844400100300400500600700800207484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5403
#16
163.40.0
164.8→164.9
Auto24.0
Teleop114.0
End23.5
blue by 31.5
1747
#1
194.92.2
178.3→180.5
Auto24.9
Teleop148.8
End20.3
Second
6956
#30
113.60.7
113.1→112.4
Auto17.6
Teleop83.4
End12.6
blue by 47.1
135
#12
160.80.7
157.9→158.6
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3
Third
1529
#29
111.80.7
111.1→111.7
Auto13.7
Teleop83.3
End12.0
blue by 37.8
4485
#23
149.60.4
146.7→146.3
Auto20.5
Teleop112.0
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned