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Qual 292018 Indiana State Championship
Red443
4272171.4
5010168.9
3487148.8
Blue228
3147130.3
1720149.2
3176147.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3663430200600800443228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#2
171.40.2
161.2→161.5
Auto23.1
Teleop124.1
End25.2
red by 22.3
1720
#21
149.21.3
154.4→155.7
Auto18.6
Teleop106.7
End22.0
Second
5010
#15
168.90.5
164.7→165.2
Auto21.9
Teleop128.7
End20.5
red by 21.2
3176
#5
147.70.8
147.2→148.0
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
Third
3487
#25
148.81.5
153.2→151.6
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End19.3
red by 18.5
3147
#27
130.30.1
139.4→139.5
Auto18.6
Teleop97.5
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsMissed