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Red405
1018171.5
3947124.9
7198123.3
Blue178
2171147.2
4580127.5
1501167.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813910100200500600700405178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#10
171.50.7
168.1168.8
Auto24.0
Teleop128.9
End17.4
red by 4.3
1501
#22
167.20.1
172.7172.8
Auto21.5
Teleop122.3
End25.0
Second
3947
#31
124.90.8
126.5125.7
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End15.8
blue by 22.3
2171
#13
147.20.1
152.8152.6
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End20.5
Third
7198
#24
123.30.5
119.4119.9
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End18.2
blue by 4.3
4580
#28
127.51.0
132.2133.2
Auto18.6
Teleop96.1
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed