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Red479
868188.0
1741182.9
3940166.2
Blue280
2867136.2
234189.0
5188159.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4393250100200400500600700800479280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#9
188.00.4
186.6187.1
Auto23.2
Teleop135.4
End25.8
blue by 1.1
234
#6
189.00.1
188.1188.0
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End31.1
Second
182.90.2
187.4187.2
Auto23.0
Teleop129.0
End29.3
red by 23.8
5188
#11
159.11.5
147.7149.2
Auto19.4
Teleop116.9
End23.8
Third
3940
#20
166.20.9
167.9166.9
Auto19.3
Teleop121.6
End24.7
red by 29.9
2867
#18
136.20.8
137.7138.5
Auto20.5
Teleop91.0
End25.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsMissed94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
76%Face the Boss oddsEarned22%Face the Boss oddsMissed