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Qual 322018 Indiana State Championship
Red209
5484140.5
829186.2
3936133.5
Blue515
4103158.7
71174.3
447167.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347373200300400500600209515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#19
186.20.7
198.6→197.9
Auto20.4
Teleop141.3
End24.1
red by 11.9
71
#3
174.30.2
168.8→169.0
Auto20.4
Teleop130.3
End24.3
Second
5484
#26
140.50.1
141.0→141.1
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End20.3
blue by 26.6
447
#4
167.11.0
154.9→156.0
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End27.9
Third
3936
#17
133.51.1
131.6→132.6
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End15.2
blue by 25.2
4103
#14
158.70.9
157.6→156.7
Auto21.3
Teleop118.2
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsEarned