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Red390
1024195.6
1720149.2
4580127.5
Blue289
1501167.2
7198123.3
5403163.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378337200300500600390289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.60.6
189.3189.9
Auto22.0
Teleop145.4
End29.2
red by 28.4
1501
#22
167.21.1
172.8171.7
Auto21.5
Teleop122.3
End25.0
Second
1720
#21
149.20.1
155.7155.6
Auto18.6
Teleop106.7
End22.0
blue by 14.2
5403
#16
163.40.4
164.9165.2
Auto24.0
Teleop114.0
End23.5
Third
4580
#28
127.50.3
133.2132.8
Auto18.6
Teleop96.1
End12.3
red by 4.3
7198
#24
123.31.0
119.9120.9
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed