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Qual 342018 Indiana State Championship
Red232
1529111.8
135160.8
3147130.3
Blue436
6956113.6
4103158.7
4272171.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322343100200400500600232436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#12
160.81.3
158.6→159.9
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3
blue by 10.7
4272
#2
171.40.5
161.5→162.0
Auto23.1
Teleop124.1
End25.2
Second
3147
#27
130.31.0
139.5→138.4
Auto18.6
Teleop97.5
End12.1
blue by 28.4
4103
#14
158.70.1
156.7→156.8
Auto21.3
Teleop118.2
End18.2
Third
1529
#29
111.80.8
111.7→112.6
Auto13.7
Teleop83.3
End12.0
blue by 1.8
6956
#30
113.60.2
112.4→112.1
Auto17.6
Teleop83.4
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed