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Qual 352018 Indiana State Championship
Red383
461145.6
447167.1
868188.0
Blue330
3940166.2
5010168.9
71174.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34139502006008001,000383330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#9
188.00.6
187.1→187.6
Auto23.2
Teleop135.4
End25.8
red by 13.7
71
#3
174.30.9
169.0→169.9
Auto20.4
Teleop130.3
End24.3
Second
447
#4
167.11.6
156.0→157.6
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End27.9
blue by 1.8
5010
#15
168.90.8
165.2→166.0
Auto21.9
Teleop128.7
End20.5
Third
461
#32
145.60.5
146.2→145.8
Auto18.6
Teleop107.6
End21.0
blue by 20.6
3940
#20
166.20.5
166.9→166.4
Auto19.3
Teleop121.6
End24.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed