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Qual 392018 Indiana State Championship
Red302
1720149.2
2867136.2
135160.8
Blue373
3487148.8
447167.1
3176147.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380336100200300500600700302373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#12
160.80.3
159.9→160.1
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3
blue by 6.3
447
#4
167.11.5
157.6→159.1
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End27.9
Second
1720
#21
149.20.1
155.6→155.7
Auto18.6
Teleop106.7
End22.0
red by 0.4
3487
#25
148.80.4
150.8→150.3
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End19.3
Third
2867
#18
136.20.3
138.6→139.0
Auto20.5
Teleop91.0
End25.8
blue by 11.4
3176
#5
147.70.7
147.5→146.8
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
56%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed