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Qual 402018 Indiana State Championship
Red344
3936133.5
2171147.2
71174.3
Blue204
1741182.9
829186.2
3147130.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3054240100200500600700800344204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#3
174.30.4
169.9→170.3
Auto20.4
Teleop130.3
End24.3
blue by 11.9
829
#19
186.21.5
196.1→194.7
Auto20.4
Teleop141.3
End24.1
Second
2171
#13
147.21.3
151.4→150.1
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End20.5
blue by 35.7
1741
#8
182.90.3
187.2→187.0
Auto23.0
Teleop129.0
End29.3
Third
3936
#17
133.50.1
132.4→132.3
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End15.2
red by 3.2
3147
#27
130.31.6
138.4→136.9
Auto18.6
Teleop97.5
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed67%Face the Boss oddsMissed