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Qual 412018 Indiana State Championship
Red422
234189.0
868188.0
3947124.9
Blue186
1018171.5
1501167.2
461145.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3663570100200300500600700800422186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#6
189.00.4
187.4→187.1
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End31.1
red by 17.6
1018
#10
171.51.3
170.1→171.5
Auto24.0
Teleop128.9
End17.4
Second
868
#9
188.00.7
187.6→188.4
Auto23.2
Teleop135.4
End25.8
red by 20.8
1501
#22
167.21.0
171.7→170.7
Auto21.5
Teleop122.3
End25.0
Third
3947
#31
124.90.4
125.6→126.0
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End15.8
blue by 20.6
461
#32
145.60.1
145.8→145.6
Auto18.6
Teleop107.6
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed