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Red251
3176147.7
4103158.7
2867136.2
Blue401
5403163.4
71174.3
234189.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2934280100200500600700800251401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4103
#14
158.70.1
157.8157.7
Auto21.3
Teleop118.2
End18.2
blue by 30.3
234
#6
189.00.1
187.1187.1
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End31.1
Second
147.70.1
146.8146.7
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
blue by 26.6
71
#3
174.30.4
170.3170.7
Auto20.4
Teleop130.3
End24.3
Third
2867
#18
136.20.6
139.0138.4
Auto20.5
Teleop91.0
End25.8
blue by 27.2
5403
#16
163.40.1
165.4165.5
Auto24.0
Teleop114.0
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsEarned