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Red439
447167.1
5188159.1
1529111.8
Blue137
4580127.5
3947124.9
3487148.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359325200300400500600439137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#4
167.11.7
159.1160.8
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End27.9
red by 18.3
3487
#25
148.80.1
150.3150.4
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End19.3
Second
5188
#11
159.11.3
150.9152.2
Auto19.4
Teleop116.9
End23.8
red by 31.5
4580
#28
127.50.6
132.7132.1
Auto18.6
Teleop96.1
End12.3
Third
1529
#29
111.80.8
112.6111.8
Auto13.7
Teleop83.3
End12.0
blue by 13.1
3947
#31
124.90.6
126.0126.6
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed