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Red420
7198123.3
461145.6
3940166.2
Blue327
4272171.4
5484140.5
2171147.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301380100200500600700420327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#20
166.20.2
165.6165.4
Auto19.3
Teleop121.6
End24.7
blue by 5.3
171.41.4
163.3164.7
Auto23.1
Teleop124.1
End25.2
Second
461
#32
145.60.9
145.6144.8
Auto18.6
Teleop107.6
End21.0
blue by 1.7
2171
#13
147.21.0
150.1149.2
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End20.5
Third
7198
#24
123.30.2
121.7121.8
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End18.2
blue by 17.2
5484
#26
140.50.2
139.6139.9
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned