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Red406
4485149.6
71174.3
3176147.7
Blue299
1747194.9
447167.1
3947124.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308391200500600700800406299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#3
174.30.4
170.7171.1
Auto20.4
Teleop130.3
End24.3
blue by 20.6
194.93.1
187.9191.0
Auto24.9
Teleop148.8
End20.3
Second
4485
#23
149.60.5
148.2148.7
Auto20.5
Teleop112.0
End17.7
blue by 17.4
447
#4
167.12.4
160.8163.1
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End27.9
Third
147.70.3
146.7146.4
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
red by 22.7
3947
#31
124.90.5
126.6126.0
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed