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Red303
2171147.2
1024195.6
1529111.8
Blue443
135160.8
3487148.8
4103158.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3483670100200300500600700800303443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.60.9
191.6192.6
Auto22.0
Teleop145.4
End29.2
red by 34.9
135
#12
160.80.3
159.5159.2
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3
Second
2171
#13
147.20.5
149.2148.6
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End20.5
blue by 11.5
4103
#14
158.70.3
157.7157.4
Auto21.3
Teleop118.2
End18.2
Third
1529
#29
111.80.3
111.8112.1
Auto13.7
Teleop83.3
End12.0
blue by 37.0
3487
#25
148.81.1
150.4149.3
Auto19.7
Teleop109.1
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsEarned