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Red272
868188.0
3147130.3
5403163.4
Blue381
1720149.2
234189.0
1018171.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3413950100200300500600272381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#9
188.00.5
189.4189.9
Auto23.2
Teleop135.4
End25.8
blue by 1.1
234
#6
189.00.1
187.1187.3
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End31.1
Second
5403
#16
163.40.2
165.5165.7
Auto24.0
Teleop114.0
End23.5
blue by 8.1
1018
#10
171.50.1
171.7171.6
Auto24.0
Teleop128.9
End17.4
Third
3147
#27
130.31.1
134.2133.2
Auto18.6
Teleop97.5
End12.1
blue by 18.9
1720
#21
149.21.5
154.9153.5
Auto18.6
Teleop106.7
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsEarned