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Qual 52018 Indiana State Championship
Red391
3176147.7
4272171.4
135160.8
Blue285
868188.0
4580127.5
829186.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30442602006008001,000391285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#2
171.40.7
157.1→157.8
Auto23.1
Teleop124.1
End25.2
blue by 16.5
868
#9
188.00.8
184.7→185.5
Auto23.2
Teleop135.4
End25.8
Second
135
#12
160.80.3
155.2→155.5
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3
blue by 25.5
829
#19
186.20.5
199.2→199.8
Auto20.4
Teleop141.3
End24.1
Third
3176
#5
147.70.3
145.3→145.0
Auto22.3
Teleop106.1
End19.3
red by 20.1
4580
#28
127.50.6
130.9→131.6
Auto18.6
Teleop96.1
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned28%Face the Boss oddsEarned