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Red402
3940166.2
1018171.5
3936133.5
Blue286
1529111.8
5484140.5
7198123.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4112640100200500600700800402286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#10
171.50.2
166.7166.9
Auto24.0
Teleop128.9
End17.4
red by 31.0
5484
#26
140.50.7
140.4141.1
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End20.3
Second
3940
#20
166.20.7
167.1167.9
Auto19.3
Teleop121.6
End24.7
red by 42.9
7198
#24
123.30.2
120.8121.0
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End18.2
Third
3936
#17
133.50.4
130.0129.6
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End15.2
red by 21.7
1529
#29
111.80.3
110.3110.6
Auto13.7
Teleop83.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed