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Red404
3947124.9
3936133.5
1501167.2
Blue445
3147130.3
4103158.7
3940166.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3173740100200500600700404445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#22
167.21.1
168.9167.8
Auto21.5
Teleop122.3
End25.0
red by 1.0
3940
#20
166.20.0
165.8165.8
Auto19.3
Teleop121.6
End24.7
Second
3936
#17
133.50.1
132.1132.0
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End15.2
blue by 25.2
4103
#14
158.70.5
157.4157.9
Auto21.3
Teleop118.2
End18.2
Third
3947
#31
124.90.9
126.0125.1
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End15.8
blue by 5.4
3147
#27
130.31.7
133.2131.5
Auto18.6
Teleop97.5
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsMissed