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Qual 592018 Indiana State Championship
Red353
135160.8
5403163.4
1018171.5
Blue376
5484140.5
461145.6
71174.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381317100200500600353376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#10
171.50.1
171.9→171.8
Auto24.0
Teleop128.9
End17.4
blue by 2.8
71
#3
174.30.6
172.3→172.9
Auto20.4
Teleop130.3
End24.3
Second
5403
#16
163.40.7
165.7→165.0
Auto24.0
Teleop114.0
End23.5
red by 17.8
461
#32
145.60.1
144.6→144.5
Auto18.6
Teleop107.6
End21.0
Third
135
#12
160.80.6
159.2→159.7
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3
red by 20.3
5484
#26
140.50.7
140.3→139.6
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed