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Qual 612018 Indiana State Championship
Red370
1720149.2
3936133.5
4272171.4
Blue143
1741182.9
1529111.8
3947124.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379317100200500600370143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#2
171.42.2
168.0→170.3
Auto23.1
Teleop124.1
End25.2
blue by 11.5
1741
#8
182.90.1
183.2→183.3
Auto23.0
Teleop129.0
End29.3
Second
1720
#21
149.21.8
152.6→150.7
Auto18.6
Teleop106.7
End22.0
red by 24.2
3947
#31
124.90.2
125.1→124.9
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End15.8
Third
3936
#17
133.50.6
132.0→132.6
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End15.2
red by 21.7
1529
#29
111.80.2
112.0→111.8
Auto13.7
Teleop83.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
49%Face the Boss oddsMissed31%Face the Boss oddsMissed