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Red312
5188159.1
3147130.3
461145.6
Blue452
829186.2
7198123.3
135160.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033780100200500600700312452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#11
159.10.7
155.7156.4
Auto19.4
Teleop116.9
End23.8
blue by 27.1
829
#19
186.21.7
188.2186.5
Auto20.4
Teleop141.3
End24.1
Second
461
#32
145.60.2
144.5144.8
Auto18.6
Teleop107.6
End21.0
blue by 15.2
135
#12
160.80.1
159.7159.8
Auto17.0
Teleop118.5
End28.3
Third
3147
#27
130.31.2
131.5130.3
Auto18.6
Teleop97.5
End12.1
red by 7.0
7198
#24
123.30.1
123.2123.3
Auto16.9
Teleop89.5
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsEarned