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Red309
4580127.5
447167.1
4485149.6
Blue446
5484140.5
234189.0
5010168.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2974010100200500600700800309446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#4
167.11.7
164.5166.2
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End27.9
blue by 22.0
234
#6
189.00.3
187.7188.0
Auto26.4
Teleop134.6
End31.1
Second
4485
#23
149.60.1
149.8149.7
Auto20.5
Teleop112.0
End17.7
blue by 19.3
5010
#15
168.90.3
167.5167.8
Auto21.9
Teleop128.7
End20.5
Third
4580
#28
127.51.5
129.1127.5
Auto18.6
Teleop96.1
End12.3
blue by 12.9
5484
#26
140.50.3
139.6139.3
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned