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Red399
1024180.3
3357192.2
74148.9
Blue357
1501181.0
71176.7
3936129.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396348200300500600399357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.20.4
191.4191.8
Auto23.6
Teleop139.6
End28.5
red by 11.2
181.00.4
180.3180.6
Auto22.8
Teleop133.8
End24.3
Second
180.30.3
179.7180.0
Auto20.8
Teleop132.6
End26.7
red by 3.6
71
#2
176.70.2
176.3176.5
Auto20.9
Teleop131.7
End27.5
Third
74
#15
148.90.1
149.2149.0
Auto20.9
Teleop114.3
End13.7
red by 19.8
3936
#21
129.10.4
128.2128.6
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End22.4