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Red350
135144.1
2171147.5
447135.2
Blue326
5403158.6
503170.8
5484140.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3323560100200400500600700350326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.50.4
146.3146.7
Auto19.0
Teleop110.8
End20.6
blue by 23.3
503
#9
170.80.1
170.8170.8
Auto23.6
Teleop129.3
End18.6
Second
135
#24
144.10.3
143.2143.5
Auto16.4
Teleop113.0
End14.9
blue by 14.5
5403
#16
158.60.1
158.4158.6
Auto23.6
Teleop116.3
End21.1
Third
447
#25
135.20.2
134.5134.7
Auto17.5
Teleop100.1
End19.1
blue by 5.3
5484
#20
140.50.1
140.6140.5
Auto18.2
Teleop110.6
End11.9