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Red368
1501181.0
4982133.3
3940165.9
Blue176
2197121.2
45138.5
74148.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311312200250300350368176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.08.8
125.7134.5
Auto22.8
Teleop133.8
End24.3
red by 32.2
74
#15
148.97.4
122.2129.6
Auto20.9
Teleop114.3
End13.7
Second
3940
#10
165.90.5
146.6146.2
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End29.7
red by 27.4
45
#14
138.512.5
97.1109.6
Auto20.0
Teleop100.5
End23.0
Third
4982
#29
133.35.5
106.2111.6
Auto15.4
Teleop102.8
End15.8
red by 12.1
2197
#32
121.210.5
103.6114.1
Auto17.4
Teleop88.4
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed