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Red428
503170.8
4272148.0
3357192.2
Blue229
4580122.1
3572116.1
447135.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3402600100200300400500600428229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.211.0
116.5127.4
Auto23.6
Teleop139.6
End28.5
red by 57.0
447
#25
135.29.0
103.1112.1
Auto17.5
Teleop100.1
End19.1
Second
503
#9
170.89.6
116.0125.6
Auto23.6
Teleop129.3
End18.6
red by 48.7
4580
#28
122.19.9
95.8105.7
Auto17.6
Teleop91.3
End14.3
Third
4272
#11
148.08.2
104.8112.9
Auto16.9
Teleop111.7
End19.0
red by 32.0
3572
#35
116.111.4
99.5110.9
Auto15.6
Teleop91.6
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed