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Red168
3147125.4
3572116.1
135144.1
Blue344
5484140.5
1501181.0
74148.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295328100200400500168344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#24
144.16.2
133.2139.4
Auto16.4
Teleop113.0
End14.9
blue by 36.9
181.07.5
134.5142.0
Auto22.8
Teleop133.8
End24.3
Second
3147
#17
125.46.9
101.1108.0
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End13.4
blue by 23.4
74
#15
148.91.9
129.6131.5
Auto20.9
Teleop114.3
End13.7
Third
3572
#35
116.17.4
110.9118.3
Auto15.6
Teleop91.6
End10.2
blue by 24.4
5484
#20
140.50.8
131.9132.8
Auto18.2
Teleop110.6
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed