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Red386
45138.5
1024180.3
1555118.9
Blue228
6956102.5
3494142.8
2197121.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324265100200300400500600386228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.38.8
135.8144.6
Auto20.8
Teleop132.6
End26.7
red by 37.5
3494
#34
142.80.8
141.0141.8
Auto19.3
Teleop98.0
End26.4
Second
45
#14
138.55.2
109.6114.8
Auto20.0
Teleop100.5
End23.0
red by 17.3
2197
#32
121.23.9
114.1118.0
Auto17.4
Teleop88.4
End14.3
Third
1555
#31
118.910.1
90.1100.2
Auto12.8
Teleop95.1
End10.9
red by 16.4
6956
#36
102.56.3
85.191.4
Auto16.4
Teleop77.5
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed