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Red269
461131.0
74148.9
2867120.1
Blue212
3572116.1
4485136.2
45138.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269308100200400500269212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#15
148.92.8
131.5134.3
Auto20.9
Teleop114.3
End13.7
red by 10.3
45
#14
138.56.0
114.8120.8
Auto20.0
Teleop100.5
End23.0
Second
461
#18
131.01.1
121.7120.6
Auto18.6
Teleop100.2
End13.8
blue by 5.3
4485
#22
136.22.6
124.2126.8
Auto18.1
Teleop103.6
End14.5
Third
2867
#27
120.11.6
105.0106.6
Auto18.5
Teleop87.6
End19.9
red by 4.0
3572
#35
116.12.1
118.3120.4
Auto15.6
Teleop91.6
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed