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Red81
2197121.2
2405107.0
4004118.1
Blue378
3865120.0
503170.8
3494142.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239343010020030040050060081378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2197
#32
121.22.8
118.0120.8
Auto17.4
Teleop88.4
End14.3
blue by 49.6
503
#9
170.86.6
135.0141.6
Auto23.6
Teleop129.3
End18.6
Second
4004
#40
118.12.1
115.9113.8
Auto15.5
Teleop92.6
End10.5
blue by 24.6
3494
#34
142.80.7
141.8142.5
Auto19.3
Teleop98.0
End26.4
Third
2405
#37
107.04.7
106.2110.9
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End12.8
blue by 13.0
3865
#23
120.00.2
105.8106.0
Auto18.5
Teleop87.7
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed