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Red318
1747142.2
5484140.5
2171147.5
Blue374
3357192.2
6012118.9
3147125.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3282680100200300400500600318374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.57.4
112.2119.6
Auto19.0
Teleop110.8
End20.6
blue by 44.7
192.29.0
137.8146.8
Auto23.6
Teleop139.6
End28.5
Second
142.26.6
121.4128.0
Auto23.2
Teleop109.0
End7.2
red by 16.7
3147
#17
125.41.3
109.8111.1
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End13.4
Third
5484
#20
140.51.2
134.0135.2
Auto18.2
Teleop110.6
End11.9
red by 21.6
6012
#26
118.91.0
102.4103.4
Auto17.5
Teleop89.3
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed