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Red311
135144.1
2171147.5
1018152.0
Blue296
6956102.5
4485136.2
1501181.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362248100200300400500600311296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.01.6
143.1144.7
Auto22.3
Teleop112.6
End17.1
blue by 29.0
181.04.9
153.1158.0
Auto22.8
Teleop133.8
End24.3
Second
147.57.2
125.1132.3
Auto19.0
Teleop110.8
End20.6
red by 11.3
4485
#22
136.21.9
127.6125.7
Auto18.1
Teleop103.6
End14.5
Third
135
#24
144.10.2
140.2140.3
Auto16.4
Teleop113.0
End14.9
red by 41.6
6956
#36
102.50.0
94.894.8
Auto16.4
Teleop77.5
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed