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Red204
1555118.9
4982133.3
3572116.1
Blue324
292121.6
2405107.0
234154.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309260150200350400450500204324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#29
133.33.8
125.5129.3
Auto15.4
Teleop102.8
End15.8
blue by 21.1
234
#8
154.50.2
148.3148.1
Auto24.2
Teleop113.0
End19.5
Second
1555
#31
118.94.0
112.9116.9
Auto12.8
Teleop95.1
End10.9
blue by 2.7
292
#38
121.60.7
114.7114.0
Auto21.3
Teleop90.7
End12.2
Third
3572
#35
116.10.4
120.9120.5
Auto15.6
Teleop91.6
End10.2
red by 9.0
2405
#37
107.01.2
110.9109.7
Auto14.5
Teleop78.7
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed