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Red298
2197121.2
3865120.0
2867120.1
Blue391
3147125.4
226153.1
447135.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272290100150200250350400450298391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2197
#32
121.22.3
119.5117.2
Auto17.4
Teleop88.4
End14.3
blue by 31.9
226
#13
153.12.2
134.4136.7
Auto21.4
Teleop110.8
End22.1
Second
2867
#27
120.12.9
108.2111.1
Auto18.5
Teleop87.6
End19.9
blue by 15.1
447
#25
135.22.4
124.4126.8
Auto17.5
Teleop100.1
End19.1
Third
3865
#23
120.02.1
107.9110.0
Auto18.5
Teleop87.7
End13.5
blue by 5.4
3147
#17
125.40.2
114.4114.2
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed