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Red371
3176144.4
3494142.8
7198117.8
Blue412
74148.9
5403158.6
3357192.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276393100200300500600371412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#19
144.43.8
134.2138.0
Auto19.5
Teleop106.7
End16.5
blue by 47.8
192.27.7
155.4163.1
Auto23.6
Teleop139.6
End28.5
Second
3494
#34
142.80.1
143.7143.8
Auto19.3
Teleop98.0
End26.4
blue by 15.8
5403
#16
158.66.8
128.6135.4
Auto23.6
Teleop116.3
End21.1
Third
7198
#30
117.83.5
107.2110.7
Auto16.9
Teleop88.9
End11.8
blue by 31.1
74
#15
148.92.6
136.8139.4
Auto20.9
Teleop114.3
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed